พยากรณ์Autumn leaves 2026 · 20 spotsacross Japan

The autumn leaf front on the map of Japan

Drag the slider to see which spots areturning · tap a pin for details

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Autumn leaves move north to south

Bar = viewing window · Dot = best day · Dashed line = today

Colour window 20 spots 10 Oct – 30 Nov

Today

Furano · BieiHokkaido

10 Oct

KamikochiJapan Alps

23 Oct

SapporoHokkaido

28 Oct

KaruizawaJapan Alps

2 Nov

Nikko (Irohazaka)Kanto

4 Nov

HakodateHokkaido

8 Nov

Takayama · HidaJapan Alps

8 Nov

Hiroshima · MiyajimaChugoku

10 Nov

Hirosaki · AomoriTohoku

12 Nov

Kawaguchiko · Mt. FujiFuji

13 Nov

SendaiTohoku

17 Nov

KanazawaHokuriku

22 Nov

FukuokaKyushu

22 Nov

Nagoya · KorankeiChubu

25 Nov

NaraKansai

25 Nov

Osaka · MinooKansai

27 Nov

Kamakura · EnoshimaKanto

28 Nov

TokyoKanto

29 Nov

KyotoKansai

29 Nov

YokohamaKanto

30 Nov

Scroll left and right to see the whole range · Sorted by date Peak Earliest to latest

All 20 spots in detail

Tap “See how this is calculated” for the method and how it compares to normal

Hokkaido Leaves have fallen

Furano · Biei

富良野・美瑛 · Furano

Best day (forecast)

10 Oct past 23 days

Best time to go 5–17 Oct

First colour29 Sep

vs. a normal year earlier 5 days

📍 Rokugo · Biei hills

See how this is calculated

ConfidenceModerate · real weather used 77%

Normal for this spot15 Oct (travel guide)

Full red maple date (JMA)23 Oct

Late season21 Oct

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Japan Alps Leaves have fallen

Kamikochi

上高地 · Kamikochi

Best day (forecast)

23 Oct past 10 days

Best time to go 18–30 Oct

First colour9 Oct

vs. a normal year later 1 day

📍 Kappa Bridge · Taisho Pond

See how this is calculated

Confidenceสูง · real weather used 81%

Normal for this spot22 Oct (travel guide)

Late season1 Nov

🔴 Live cam Hotels Add to trip plan

Hokkaido Late season

Sapporo

札幌 · Sapporo

Best day (forecast)

28 Oct past 5 days

Best time to go 23 Oct – 4 Nov

First colour15 Oct

vs. a normal year later 3 days

📍 Jozankei / Nakajima Park

See how this is calculated

Confidenceสูง · real weather used 82%

Normal for this spot25 Oct (travel guide)

Full red maple date (JMA)28 Oct

Late season4 Nov

🔴 Live cam Hotels Add to trip plan

Japan Alps Peak · Viewablenow

Karuizawa

軽井沢 · Karuizawa

Best day (forecast)

2 Nov Today

Best time to go 28 Oct – 9 Nov

First colour21 Oct

vs. a normal year later 5 days

📍 Kumoba Pond · Stone Church

See how this is calculated

Confidenceสูง · real weather used 83%

Normal for this spot28 Oct (travel guide)

Late season8 Nov

Hotels Add to trip plan

Kanto Peak · Viewablenow

Nikko (Irohazaka)

日光 · Nikko

Best day (forecast)

4 Nov in 2 days

Best time to go 30 Oct – 11 Nov

First colour22 Oct

vs. a normal year later 7 days

📍 Irohazaka · Kegon Falls

See how this is calculated

Confidenceสูง · real weather used 83%

Normal for this spot28 Oct (travel guide)

Late season10 Nov

Hotels Add to trip plan

Hokkaido First colour

Hakodate

函館 · Hakodate

Best day (forecast)

8 Nov in 6 days

Best time to go 3–15 Nov

First colour1 Nov

vs. a normal year later 11 day

📍 Lake Onuma · Mt. Hakodate

See how this is calculated

Confidenceสูง · real weather used 84%

Normal for this spot28 Oct (travel guide)

Full red maple date (JMA)2 Nov

Late season12 Nov

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Japan Alps ใกล้พีค.

Takayama · Hida

高山・飛騨 · Takayama

Best day (forecast)

8 Nov in 6 days

Best time to go 3–15 Nov

First colour28 Oct

vs. a normal year later 5 days

📍 Shirakawa-go · Shinhotaka Gorge

See how this is calculated

Confidenceสูง · real weather used 84%

Normal for this spot3 Nov (travel guide)

Late season13 Nov

Hotels Add to trip plan

Chugoku Still green

Hiroshima · Miyajima

広島・宮島 · Miyajima

Best day (forecast)

10 Nov in 8 days

Best time to go 5–17 Nov

First colour7 Nov

vs. a normal year earlier 8 days

📍 Momijidani Park (Miyajima)

See how this is calculated

Confidenceสูง · real weather used 84%

Normal for this spot18 Nov (travel guide)

Full red maple date (JMA)22 Nov

Late season15 Nov

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Tohoku First colour

Hirosaki · Aomori

弘前・青森 · Hirosaki

Best day (forecast)

12 Nov in 10 days

Best time to go 7–19 Nov

First colour30 Oct

vs. a normal year later 7 days

📍 Oirase Stream · Lake Towada

See how this is calculated

Confidenceสูง · real weather used 84%

Normal for this spot5 Nov (travel guide)

Full red maple date (JMA)13 Nov

Late season22 Nov

Hotels Add to trip plan

Fuji First colour

Kawaguchiko · Mt. Fuji

河口湖・富士 · Kawaguchiko

Best day (forecast)

13 Nov in 11 day

Best time to go 8–20 Nov

First colour6 Nov

vs. a normal year later 5 days

📍 Momiji Kairo (maple tunnel)

See how this is calculated

Confidenceสูง · real weather used 85%

Normal for this spot8 Nov (travel guide)

Late season20 Nov

🔴 Live cam Hotels Add to trip plan

Tohoku First colour

Sendai

仙台 · Sendai

Best day (forecast)

17 Nov in 15 days

Best time to go 12–24 Nov

First colour6 Nov

vs. a normal year later 7 days

📍 Naruko Gorge · Akiu

See how this is calculated

Confidenceสูง · real weather used 85%

Normal for this spot10 Nov (travel guide)

Full red maple date (JMA)21 Nov

Late season25 Nov

Hotels Add to trip plan

Hokuriku Still green

Kanazawa

金沢 · Kanazawa

Best day (forecast)

22 Nov in 20 days

Best time to go 17–29 Nov

First colour11 Nov

vs. a normal year later 2 days

📍 Kenrokuen Garden

See how this is calculated

Confidenceสูง · real weather used 82%

Normal for this spot20 Nov (travel guide)

Full red maple date (JMA)24 Nov

Late season29 Nov

Hotels Add to trip plan

Kyushu Still green

Fukuoka

福岡 · Fukuoka

Best day (forecast)

22 Nov in 20 days

Best time to go 17–29 Nov

First colour11 Nov

vs. a normal year earlier 3 days

📍 Kamado Shrine · Akizuki town

See how this is calculated

Confidenceสูง · real weather used 82%

Normal for this spot25 Nov (travel guide)

Full red maple date (JMA)1 Dec

Late season29 Nov

Hotels Add to trip plan

Chubu Still green

Nagoya · Korankei

名古屋・香嵐渓 · Nagoya

Best day (forecast)

25 Nov in 23 days

Best time to go 20 Nov – 2 Dec

First colour12 Nov

vs. a normal year later 3 days

📍 Korankei Gorge (4,000 maple trees)

See how this is calculated

Confidenceสูง · real weather used 80%

Normal for this spot22 Nov (travel guide)

Full red maple date (JMA)28 Nov

Late season2 Dec

Hotels Add to trip plan

Kansai Still green

Nara

奈良 · Nara

Best day (forecast)

25 Nov in 23 days

Best time to go 20 Nov – 2 Dec

First colour11 Nov

vs. a normal year later 5 days

📍 Nara Park · Todaiji Temple

See how this is calculated

Confidenceสูง · real weather used 80%

Normal for this spot20 Nov (travel guide)

Full red maple date (JMA)21 Nov

Late season3 Dec

Hotels Add to trip plan

Kansai Still green

Osaka · Minoo

大阪・箕面 · Osaka

Best day (forecast)

27 Nov in 25 days

Best time to go 22 Nov – 4 Dec

First colour13 Nov

vs. a normal year later 2 days

📍 Minoo Falls (Minoh Park)

See how this is calculated

ConfidenceModerate · real weather used 79%

Normal for this spot25 Nov (travel guide)

Full red maple date (JMA)1 Dec

Late season4 Dec

🔴 Live cam Hotels Add to trip plan

Kanto Still green

Kamakura · Enoshima

鎌倉 · Kamakura

Best day (forecast)

28 Nov in 26 days

Best time to go 23 Nov – 5 Dec

First colour14 Nov

vs. a normal year earlier 3 days

📍 Hasedera Temple · Engakuji Temple

See how this is calculated

ConfidenceModerate · real weather used 78%

Normal for this spot1 Dec (travel guide)

Full red maple date (JMA)14 Dec

Late season5 Dec

🔴 Live cam Hotels Add to trip plan

Kanto Still green

Tokyo

東京 · Tokyo

Best day (forecast)

29 Nov in 27 days

Best time to go 24 Nov – 6 Dec

First colour18 Nov

vs. a normal year later 1 day

📍 Rikugien Garden · Jingu ginkgo avenue

See how this is calculated

ConfidenceModerate · real weather used 78%

Normal for this spot28 Nov (travel guide)

Full red maple date (JMA)28 Nov

Late season7 Dec

🔴 Live cam Hotels Add to trip plan

Kansai Still green

Kyoto

京都 · Kyoto

Best day (forecast)

29 Nov in 27 days

Best time to go 24 Nov – 6 Dec

First colour14 Nov

vs. a normal year later 4 days

📍 Tofukuji Temple · Eikando · Arashiyama

See how this is calculated

ConfidenceModerate · real weather used 78%

Normal for this spot25 Nov (travel guide)

Full red maple date (JMA)5 Dec

Late season8 Dec

🔴 Live cam Hotels Add to trip plan

Kanto Still green

Yokohama

横浜 · Yokohama

Best day (forecast)

30 Nov in 28 days

Best time to go 25 Nov – 7 Dec

First colour18 Nov

vs. a normal year on time

📍 Sankeien Garden · Sankeien Garden

See how this is calculated

ConfidenceModerate · real weather used 77%

Normal for this spot30 Nov (travel guide)

Full red maple date (JMA)14 Dec

Late season7 Dec

Hotels Add to trip plan

Where do these numbers come from?

🌸 Cherry blossom — heat accumulation rule

Daily temperatures are accumulated from 1 February using the rules Japanese forecasters really use: the 400℃ rule daily mean temperatures summed to 400℃, and the 600℃ rule daily highs summed to 600℃ — then we average both results

🍁 Autumn leaves — cumulative chill index

Maples start turning when daily lows drop below ~8℃ and speed up below 5℃ We accumulate that value max(0, 12℃ − lowest temperature) from 1 August A year that turns cold early really does redden leaves early

⚖️ Per-spot calibration

The 400/600℃ rules were built for Tokyo; applied straight to Hokkaido they go wrong So we run the model on each spot’s “normal weather year” first, then shift the result to match the norm JMA 1991–2020 for that spot, before applying it to this year’s real weather

📡 Data sources

Daily temperatures from Open-Meteo (ERA5 observations + 16-day forecast) Dates beyond that use the past 10 -year average for that spot The “confidence” value shows what percentage uses real weather

⚠️ These are estimates, not official announcements — the Japan Meteorological Agency and forecast companies (tenki.jp, Weathernews, 日本気象) offer no free sakura/autumn-leaf forecast API so the numbers here are computed from temperature and can be off by ±3–7 days especially in years with wild swings before bloom. Check official announcements again before you travel

Frequently asked questions

How accurate is this forecast?

It is computed from past actual temperatures and forecasts, not an official announcement. The margin is about 3–7 days, and it narrows as bloom nears because more real weather is used. Always check the “confidence” value for each spot, then check official announcements again before booking.

What is the difference between “bloom (開花)” and “full bloom (満開)”?

開花 is the day the first 5–6 flowers open on a benchmark tree; 満開 is the day over 80% of the tree is open. They are usually about 7 days apart on Honshu and 3–5 days in Hokkaido. The best window for photos runs from full bloom for another 3–5 days.

When should I book so I do not miss the sakura?

To be safest, pick dates covering the full-bloom day with 3 days before and 4 days after, and plan a backup city that blooms later or earlier — if Tokyo has dropped, you can still head north or up into the mountains.

Where do the autumn leaves start?

They start in Hokkaido and the high mountains from late September–October, then move south. Kyoto and Tokyo peak mid to late November, and Kyushu can run into early December. Drag the date slider on this page to see the status of each city on your dates.

What if I miss the peak?

Moving to a city at a different elevation helps a lot — mountains turn about 2–4 weeks earlier than cities — and once petals or leaves have fallen there are usually night illumination events instead. Try the trip budget calculator to see how much prices change if you shift your dates